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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 4/27/2008 8:31:17 PM
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tracydolls
Posts: 652
Joined: 3/30/2008
From: Mpls, MN
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No , even if they seat those delegates, she still will not be ahead, I think is what I heard. How can she justify seating though? In Michigan he was not on ballet, and over 2 million of the 4 million Democrats did not vote in Fla because they wer'e told it don't count anyways.
At this point anyone can beat these 2 idiots, I'm so sick of them I could cry.
_____________________________
Jud 1:21 Keep yourselves in the love of God, looking for the mercy of our Lord Jesus Christ unto eternal life.
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 4/27/2008 10:35:17 PM
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wing2000
Posts: 848
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yea...hillary reminds me of the kid in grade school who always wanted to change the rules after the kick ball game had started. The fact that she still wants to seat the MI and FL delegates after all this time speaks to the kind of ethics she would practice as President.
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 4/27/2008 11:40:52 PM
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inthysite
Posts: 146
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No matter what happens Hillary cannot overtake Barack in the delegate count, even if MI and FL are seated.
However, and this is what Hillary is counting on, if MI and FL are seated then Hillary can overtake Barack in the popular vote, depending on what happens in the rest of the primaries.
This is why Howard Dean is so adamant about getting the Super Delegates to make known their decision now or at least no later than June 3rd. He does not want this to go to the convention because then it forces the issue of MI and FL.
The Democrats have always been the party of 'every vote counts' and always, always charged the Republicans with disenfranchising voters. So if they don't seat MI and FL then those voters are disenfranchised. If they do seat them, then the ones who didn't vote because they were told their votes wouldn't count will be disenfranchised. It's a lose/lose situation.
But the bottom line is the Democrats cannot go to the convention and not seat MI and FL. This will kill them in the general. If they don't seat them watch how these two states vote in the general. Remember, it was FL that basically gave Bush the victory in 2000.
_____________________________
Let the words of my mouth and the meditation of my heart
Be acceptable in Thy sight, O LORD, my rock and my Redeemer - Psalm 19:14
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 4/27/2008 11:41:54 PM
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lightshineon
Posts: 3316
Joined: 4/11/2005
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What if neither one wins. I am serious this could go on forever, through the courts. Reminds me of the movie Gladiator, where Comidus (sp) said to Maximus " What am I going to do with you? You just won't die."
_____________________________
Remember, whenever you have pearls, there are always plenty of pigs nearby who would be glad to step on them.
F.T., 2007
Be sure you vote for those, whose views you want your children to emulate.
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 4/28/2008 4:16:27 AM
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saved9201
Posts: 266
Joined: 4/15/2005
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Hillary has done the math and she knows she's toast. She's staying in the race primarily to help insure an Obama loss in November so she'll be able to take on McCain in 4 years. She doesn't care about her party, this country or what's right, wrong or ethical. She just wants to be President and if she has to bring down the democratic party, I think she will.
- Julius
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 5/7/2008 7:31:34 AM
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inthysite
Posts: 146
Joined: 2/12/2008
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After Hillary's comments I thought it prudent to revive this thread.
2,025? Clinton camp says the 'magic number' of delegates is really 2,209
For weeks, the figure that the Associated Press, political reporters and the Democratic presidential campaigns have been citing as the minimum number of convention delegates needed to be the party's presidential nominee has been 2,025.
This morning, Hillary Rodham Clinton's campaign made the case that the goal line needs to be moved further back and that the real "magic number" is 2,209. It also laid out a scenario that has the primary season ending on June 3 with neither major contender having reached the 2,209 mark. In that event, Clinton strategist Geoff Garin said, "the process" would continue -- a process that could see Clinton and Barack Obama taking their battle for the nomination to the floor of the party's late-August convention in Denver.
One reader made the following comment:
"'DNC rule 20(c)(1) states that, If a “violation of timing' were to occur, then “the number of pledged delegates elected in each category allocated to the state pursuant to the Call for the National Convention shall be reduced by fifty (50%) percent, and the number of alternates shall also be reduced by fifty (50%) percent.” As it happens, it was the Rules and Bylaws Committee that decided to change the punishment from 50% to 100% ."
So the same committee now reconsidering and correcting their mistake, IS following the rules.
And there's also the rule that Obama should lose ALL his FL delegates because he broke the no-campaign agreement by running cable ads there. So by the rules, HIllary gets half, Obama gets none."
_____________________________
Let the words of my mouth and the meditation of my heart
Be acceptable in Thy sight, O LORD, my rock and my Redeemer - Psalm 19:14
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 5/7/2008 11:14:42 AM
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SuspenseWriter
Posts: 147
Joined: 2/22/2008
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I doubt any of that will happen. Right now odds are Hillary is working on her concession speech, a speech that will end her run and give Obama the nomination. "For the good of the party," don'tcha know. All said, it was a heckuva run, and although I don't like her, I admit she's a tough, bare-knuckle campaigner.
The Chinese have a saying: "May you live in interesting times." And we are.
So this November it'll be the Secular Messiah against the Warhorse.
Have mercy.
_____________________________
John Robinson
writer of suspense...obviously!
www.johnrobinsonbooks.com
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 5/7/2008 11:45:44 AM
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Jhud
Posts: 6792
Joined: 4/11/2005
From: Lake Wobegon
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I just wish Howard Cosell were still alive to cover this race. It would be assume to have blow by blow coverage:
And Obama is on the ropes - Hillary hits him with a Reverend Wright, then she jabs him with an Ayers, his knees are wobbling and his head is drooping...but wait, the Obama Bomber from Chicago isn't out yet, he throws a North Carolina and makes contact, Hillary defending with an Indiana hook, folks, it just goes on, and on, it is the fight of the new century...who will take home the prize is anyone’s call…
_____________________________
Jack
“I mean to live my life an obedient man, but obedient to God, subservient to the wisdom of my ancestors; never to the authority of political truths arrived at yesterday at the voting booth”
William F. Buckley Jr. 1925-200
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 5/7/2008 11:49:35 AM
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Leslie35
Posts: 657
Joined: 9/6/2007
From: SW Missouri
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quote:
ORIGINAL: saved9201
Hillary has done the math and she knows she's toast. She's staying in the race primarily to help insure an Obama loss in November so she'll be able to take on McCain in 4 years. She doesn't care about her party, this country or what's right, wrong or ethical. She just wants to be President and if she has to bring down the democratic party, I think she will.
- Julius
That is exactly what my husband said!
_____________________________
If I speak with the tongues of angels and have not love I am nothing but a clanging symbol. ~Love is patient and kind, Love is not ill mannered or easily angered.
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 5/7/2008 1:23:49 PM
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inthysite
Posts: 146
Joined: 2/12/2008
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quote:
ORIGINAL: Jhud
I just wish Howard Cosell were still alive to cover this race. It would be assume to have blow by blow coverage:
And Obama is on the ropes - Hillary hits him with a Reverend Wright, then she jabs him with an Ayers, his knees are wobbling and his head is drooping...but wait, the Obama Bomber from Chicago isn't out yet, he throws a North Carolina and makes contact, Hillary defending with an Indiana hook, folks, it just goes on, and on, it is the fight of the new century...who will take home the prize is anyone’s call…
Kind of like the Rocky Balboa/Apollo Creed fight in Rocky.  
quote:
I doubt any of that will happen. Right now odds are Hillary is working on her concession speech, a speech that will end her run and give Obama the nomination.
Hillary just recently loaned her campaign another $5mil so I doubt she is going anywhere. This woman doesn't know the meaning of the word quit.
_____________________________
Let the words of my mouth and the meditation of my heart
Be acceptable in Thy sight, O LORD, my rock and my Redeemer - Psalm 19:14
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 5/7/2008 1:58:21 PM
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SuspenseWriter
Posts: 147
Joined: 2/22/2008
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Neither do I (as a writer, I have to know I'm in this for the long haul). So as much as I abhor the woman's politics, I admire her grit.
_____________________________
John Robinson
writer of suspense...obviously!
www.johnrobinsonbooks.com
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 5/8/2008 12:08:17 AM
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wing2000
Posts: 848
Joined: 4/14/2005
Status: offline
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quote:
However, and this is what Hillary is counting on, if MI and FL are seated then Hillary can overtake Barack in the popular vote, depending on what happens in the rest of the primaries.
...actually, she can't overtake him in the popular vote (even with MI and FL)...he has over a 700,000 raw vote lead.
She has no case.
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 5/8/2008 1:00:27 AM
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inthysite
Posts: 146
Joined: 2/12/2008
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I made that statement prior to these last two primaries, she was hoping to fare better in the popular vote, then if you added in MI/FL she would have had a case.
But now you are correct, she cannot overtake him. Her only hope now is if something happens with Barack that shows that he cannot win the general election. Remember, the media has just now brought him under scrutiny, there are still several months to go until the general election and there is no telling if there are more skeletons in his closet.
_____________________________
Let the words of my mouth and the meditation of my heart
Be acceptable in Thy sight, O LORD, my rock and my Redeemer - Psalm 19:14
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RE: Will FL. adn MI delegates be enough to bump BO? - 5/8/2008 5:52:09 AM
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Random
Posts: 1203
Joined: 4/18/2005
From: Zipperhead
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I read an article with the math yesterday, and even if you count MI and FL, and when counting MI, you give Obama ZERO votes, the best she can do is basically a tie in the popular vote.
And that ignores the fact that caucuses are not designed to generated a countable popular vote, so they drastically undercount Obama's vote totals, since he won most of them.
This article also stated that the entire primary/caucus system is not designed to be able to count popular vote totals, so it's a strange argument anyway.
_____________________________
Desmond Hume has come unstuck in time.
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